2025数学建模美赛C题【Models for Olympic Medal Tables】第一问

本文为个人解题笔记，仅供参考学习。本文C题的第一问。
其他问题均在本专栏内，订阅一次，全部可见。

问题1 解题全流程

Develop a model for medal counts for each country (for Gold and total medals at a
minimum). Include estimates of the uncertainty/precision of your model predictions and
measures of how well model performs.
o Based on your model, what are your projections for the medal table in the Los
Angeles, USA summer Olympics in 2028? Include prediction intervals for all
results. Which countries do you believe are most likely to improve? Which will
do worse than in 2024?
o Your model should include countries that have yet to earn medals; what is your
projection for how many will earn