大规模流行性传染病：现代社会潜在的危险 Mass epidemic: potential dangers in modern society

刚读完加特勒的《逼近的瘟疫》(The Coming Plague)，本书以编年史的方式系统而生动地描绘了 20 世纪 50 年代以来新兴传染病的发生, 以及人类与新兴传染病斗争的过程, 对不同的社会人群, 包括科学家、医生、政治家、宗教领袖和政策制定者, 在面对新兴传染病的危险时的形形色色的表现, 都做了生动的描写。
After finish reading Garrett’s , this book systematically and vividly depicts the occurrence of infectious diseases since the 1950s, as well as the process of human struggle against emerging infectious diseases. This book vividly depicts the performance of different social groups, including scientists, doctors, politicians, religious leaders and policymakers.

《逼近的瘟疫》指出, 过度城市化造成的生态破坏、人口的高度密集、吸毒和性放纵等是新兴传染病产生的主要原因。在全球化的过程中, 国际贸易与旅行的大量增加加大了传染病的传播速度和扩散范围。作者认为, 我们对传染病的现实威胁的重视程度还远远不够。
pointed out that ecological damage caused by excessive urbanization, high population density, drug abuse and sexual indulgence are the main causes of emerging infectious diseases. In the process of globalization, the massive increase in international trade and travel has increased the speed and spread of infectious diseases. The authors believe that we do not pay enough attention to the real threat of infectious diseases.

以中国举例来说，02年的非典和此次的新型冠状病毒有一定的相似性，它们都是由于人们乱吃野味而引发的（新冠肺炎的起因还有待考证）；SARS和NCV至今都没找到有效的特效药，主要是靠人们自我的抵抗力杀死病毒；传播性很强很强（新冠病毒更强）。
Taking China as an example, the SARS in 2002 and the new coronavirus have similarities. They are caused by people eating wild game (the cause of new coronary pneumonia has yet to be verified); neither SARS nor NCV have so far found effective special-effect drugs, people mainly kill the virus by their self-resistance; the transmission is very strong (the new crown virus is stronger).

我们通过几次世界性的病毒爆发来看，城市化和工业化明显加剧了病毒传播的速度和力度，也使得新的病毒（HIV等）得以传播。如何避免下一次的病毒大规模传播是人们应该考虑的，不管是自身防范或是政府管控。
By viewing several worldwide virus outbreaks, urbanization and industrialization have significantly increased the speed and intensity of virus transmission and also allowed new viruses (HIV, etc.) to spread. How to avoid the next large-scale spread of the virus should be considered by people, whether it is self-prevention or government control.

我们永远难以逃脱生态系统的限制，不管我们高兴还是不高兴，我们都处在食物链中，吃，也被吃。
We can never escape the limits of the ecosystem. Whether we are happy or unhappy, we are in the food chain, eating or being eaten.
------威廉 · 麦克尼尔( William Hardy McNeill )