EC 421经济理算法

Problem Set 1: OLS Review
EC 421: Introduction to Econometrics
Due before midnight on Sunday, 19 April 2020
DUE Upload your answer on Canvas before midnight on Sunday, 19 April 2020.
IMPORTANT You must submit two files:

1. your typed responses/answers to the question (in a Word file or something similar)
2. the R script you used to generate your answers. Each student must turn in her/his own answers.
   README! The data in this problem set come from the 2018 American Community Survey (ACS), which I downloaded
   from IPUMS. The last page has a table that describes each variable in the dataset(s).
   OBJECTIVE This problem set has three purposes: (1) reinforce the metrics topics we reviewed in class; (2) build
   your R toolset; (3) start building your intuition about causality within econometrics/regression.
   INTEGRITY If you are suspected of cheating, then you will receive a zero. We may report you to the dean.
   Setup
   Q01. Load your packages. You'll probably going to need/want tidyverse and here (among others).
   Q02. Now load the data. I saved the same dataset as two different formats:
   an .rds file: use a function that reads .rds files—for example, readRDS() or read_rds() (from the
   readr package in the tidyverse .
   a .csv file: use a function that reads .csv files—for example, read.csv() or read_csv() (from the
   readr package in the tidyverse .
   Q03. Check your dataset. How many observations and variables do you have? Hint: Try dim() , ncol() , nrow() .
   Getting to know your data
   Q04. Plot a histogram of households' income (variable: hh_income ). Note: Household income is in tens of
   thousands of dollars (so a value of 8 implies an income of $80,000.)
   Q05. What are the mean and median levels of household income? Based upon this answer and the previous
   histogram, is household income (fairly) evenly distributed or is it more skewed? Explain your answer.
   Q06. Create a histogram of household income per capita—meaning the household's income divided by the number
   of individuals in the household. Does dividing by the number of individuals in the household change your
   understanding of the income distribution? Explain your answer.
   Q07. Run a regression that helps summarize the relationship between household income and household size.
   Interpret the results of the regression—the meaning of the coefficient(s). Comment on the coefficient's statistical
   significance.
   Q08. Explain why you chose the specification you chose in the previous question.
   Was it linear, log-linear, log-log?
   What was the outcome variable?
   What was the explanatory variable?
   Why did you make these choices?
   Q09. Plot a histogram of the time households spend commuting each day (the variable time_commuting is the
   average commuting time for a household). Is the distribution of commute time more or less equitable than
   income? Explain.
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   Regression refresher: Varying the specification
   Q10. Linear specification Regress average commute time ( time_commuting ) on household income ( hh_income ).
   Interpret the coefficient and comment on its statistical significance.
   Q11. Log-linear specification Regress the log of average commute time on household income. Interpret the
   coefficient and comment on its statistical significance.
   Q12. Log-log specification Regress the log of average commute time on the log of household income. Interpret the
   coefficient and comment on its statistical significance.
   Multiple linear regression and indicator variables
   Q13. Regress average commute time on household income and the share of the individuals in the household who
   are non-white ethnicities ( hh_share_nonwhite ). Interpret the intercept and coefficient and comment on their
   statistical significance. Also compare your results to Q10. Has anything changed?
   Q14. Regress average commute time on the indicator variable for whether a household moved in the last year
   ( i_moved ). Interpret the intercept and coefficient and comment on their statistical significance.
   Q15. Add the share of the household that represents a non-white ethnicity ( hh_share_nonwhite ) to the regression
   in Q14. Note: Your outcome variable is still average household commute time, but you should now have two
   explanatory variables. Interpret the intercept and coefficient and comment on their statistical significance.
   Q16. Did adding this second explanatory variable change the coefficient of the first variable at all? What does that
   tell you? Explain your answer.
   Q17. Now add the interaction between your two explanatory variables in Q16 and re-run the regreation. (You
   should have an intercept and three coefficients—the two variables plus their interaction.) Interpret the coefficient
   on the interaction and comment on its statistical significance.
   Q18. Did including the interaction change your understanding of the relationship between the variables? Explain.
   Q19. Regress the indicator for whether the household has a smartphone ( i_smartphone ) on the household's
   income ( hh_income ) and the share of the household's individuals who represent non-white ethnicities
   ( hh_share_nonwhite ). Interpret the intercept and coefficients. Comment on their statistical significance.
   The bigger picture
   Q20. In the last regression (Q19), should we be concerned about omitted-variable bias? Explain your answer and
   provide an example of a potential omitted variable if you are concerned about omitted-variable bias.
   Q21. Is R-squared a good measure of model performance? Explain your answer.
   Q22. Define the term standard error.
   Q23. What does our assumption of exogeneity require?
   Q24. What does it mean for an estimator to be unbiased?
   Q25. What does it mean for an estimator to be more efficient than another estimator?
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   Description of variables and names
   Variable Description
   fips County FIPS code
   hh_size Household size (number of people)
   hh_income Household total income in $10,000
   cost_housing Household's total reported cost of housing
   n_vehicles Household's number of vehicles
   hh_share_nonwhite Share of household members identifying as non-white ethnicities
   i_renter Binary indicator for whether any household members are renters
   i_moved Binary indicator for whether a household member moved in prior 1 year
   i_foodstamp Binary indicator for whether any household member participates in foodstamps
   i_smartphone Binary indicator for whether a household member owns a smartphone
   i_internet Binary indicator for whether the household has access to the internet
   time_commuting Average time spent commuting per day by each household member (minutes)
   In general, I've tried to stick with a naming convention. Variables that begin with i_ denote binary indicatory
   variables (taking on the value of 0 or 1). Variables that begin with n_ are numeric variables.