France '98 |
Today the first round of the Soccer World Championship in France is coming to an end. 16 countries are remaining now, among which the winner is determined by the following tournament:
1 Brazil -----+ +-- ? --+ 2 Chile ------+ | +-- ? --+ 3 Nigeria ----+ | | +-- ? --+ | 4 Denmark ----+ | +-- ? --+ 5 Holland ----+ | | +-- ? --+ | | 6 Yugoslavia -+ | | | +-- ? --+ | 7 Argentina --+ | | +-- ? --+ | 8 England ----+ | +-- World Champion 9 Italy ------+ | +-- ? --+ | 10 Norway -----+ | | +-- ? --+ | 11 France -----+ | | | +-- ? --+ | | 12 Paraguay ---+ | | +-- ? --+ 13 Germany ----+ | +-- ? --+ | 14 Mexico -----+ | | +-- ? --+ 15 Romania ----+ | +-- ? --+ 16 Croatia ----+
For each possible match A vs. B between these 16 nations, you are given the probability that team A wins against B. This (together with the tournament mode displayed above) is sufficient to compute the probability that a given nation wins the World Cup. For example, if Germany wins against Mexico with 80%, Romania against Croatia with 60%, Germany against Romania with 70% and Germany against Croatia with 90%, then the probability that Germany reaches the semi-finals is 80% * (70% * 60% + 90% * 40%) = 62.4%.
Your task is to write a program that computes the chances of the 16 nations to become the World Champion '98.
The first 16 lines of the input file give the names of the 16 countries, from top to bottom according to the picture given above.
Next, there will follow a 16 16 integer matrix P where element pij gives the probability in percent that country #i defeats country #j in a direct match. Country #i means the i-th country from top to bottom given in the list of countries. In the picture above Brazil is #1 and Germany is #13, so p1,13 = 55 would mean that in a match between Brazil and Germany, Brazil wins with a probability of 55%.
Note that matches may not end with a draw, i.e. pij + pji = 100 for all i,j.
Brazil Chile Nigeria Denmark Holland Yugoslavia Argentina England Italy Norway France Paraguay Germany Mexico Romania Croatia 50 65 50 60 55 50 50 65 45 55 40 55 40 55 50 50 35 50 35 45 40 35 35 50 30 40 25 40 25 40 35 35 50 65 50 60 55 50 50 65 45 55 40 55 40 55 50 50 40 55 40 50 45 40 40 55 35 45 30 45 30 45 40 40 45 60 45 55 50 45 45 60 40 50 35 50 35 50 45 45 50 65 50 60 55 50 50 65 45 55 40 55 40 55 50 50 50 65 50 60 55 50 50 65 45 55 40 55 40 55 50 50 35 50 35 45 40 35 35 50 30 40 25 40 25 40 35 35 55 70 55 65 60 55 55 70 50 60 45 60 45 60 55 55 45 60 45 55 50 45 45 60 40 50 35 50 35 50 45 45 60 75 60 70 65 60 60 75 55 65 50 65 50 65 60 60 45 60 45 55 50 45 45 60 40 50 35 50 35 50 45 45 60 75 60 70 65 60 60 75 55 65 50 65 50 65 60 60 45 60 45 55 50 45 45 60 40 50 35 50 35 50 45 45 50 65 50 60 55 50 50 65 45 55 40 55 40 55 50 50 50 65 50 60 55 50 50 65 45 55 40 55 40 55 50 50
Brazil p=8.54% Chile p=1.60% Nigeria p=8.06% Denmark p=2.79% Holland p=4.51% Yugoslavia p=7.50% Argentina p=8.38% England p=1.56% Italy p=9.05% Norway p=3.23% France p=13.72% Paraguay p=3.09% Germany p=13.79% Mexico p=3.11% Romania p=5.53% Croatia p=5.53%
题意:给定16只球队名字和i和j队比赛i队赢的概率。求每个球队得冠军概率
思路:dp[k][i]表示第i只球队在第k轮出线的概率。 那么可得方程dp[k][i] = dp[k - 1][i] * dp[k - 1][j] * (i赢j概率)。然后要多个判断,i和j要在同一组内并且i和j在上一场比赛中不是对手。
代码:
#include <stdio.h> #include <string.h> const int N = 20; const int d[5] = {1, 2, 4, 8, 16}; int i, j, k; double v[N][N], dp[N - 10][N]; char name[N][105]; int main() { for (i = 1; i <= 16; i ++) gets(name[i]); for (i = 1; i <= 16; i ++) for (j = 1; j <= 16; j ++) { scanf("%lf", &v[i][j]); } for (i = 1; i <= 16; i ++) dp[0][i] = 100; for (k = 1; k <= 4; k ++) for (i = 1; i <= 16; i ++) for (j = 1; j <= 16; j ++) { if ((i - 1) / d[k] == (j - 1) / d[k] && (i - 1) / d[k - 1] != (j - 1) / d[k - 1]) dp[k][i] += dp[k - 1][i] * dp[k - 1][j] * v[i][j] / 10000; } for (i = 1; i <= 16; i ++) { printf("%-10s p=%.2f%%\n", name[i], dp[4][i]); } return 0; }