同打一个球（25-26）

二十五

Mikhail Simkin, Scientific inquiry into poetry

The average score of over twenty two thousand people is 55.5% correct. This is little better than random guessing, which would give 50% correct. The 35 people from leading Russian universities got an average score of 55.8%.

注：这哥们设计了一个小测试，从狄更斯及和他同时代的一个烂作家的小说里各摘了些代表性段落，让网友逐条判断这些段落是谁写的，结果正确率的均值为48%，和瞎猜的结果差不多。

然后就有人批评：“小说是一个整体，单摘出些段落没啥好说的。一小段只能看出作者的行文风格，而狄更斯的牛逼在于情节和角色设计，这从摘录段落里可看不出来。”于是这哥们又生一计，那就比较诗歌呗，诗歌不用摘录。于是选了些普希金和一个不知名的xx科夫的诗。2万2千人参加了测试，平均正确率是55.5%，特别的，其中35个人来自俄罗斯顶尖大学，他们的平均正确率是55.8%。比瞎猜强那么一点点。

结论是，要不就是人们其实没什么鉴赏力（即读得很少很草率），要不就是很多大师其实只是“所谓的大师”。

二十六

Robin Hanson, Advice Isn’t About Info

I had lunch with a very senior managing partner at a venture capital firm as she was stepping down from the firm to spend more time with her family following a long and successful career in that company. She commented that once she announced her retirement, not only did her colleagues behave differently toward her, no longer inviting her to meetings and seeking her advice as often, but her time was less in demand by colleagues in the high-technology and venture capital communities more generally. Her wisdom and experience hadn’t changed— the only difference was her soon-to-be-diminished control over investment resources and positions in the venture capital firm.

这就是那些退休的主任、局长、行长、董事长们的痛苦：突然间，咯噔一下，没人鸟他们了。

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乱弹：面对各种权威（知名评论家，公司里的上级），“警觉”一些、记住自己还有个脑袋很有必要啊。