2018_05_11_Training_Fundamental analysis when trade

Fundamental analysis when trade

1.Introduction

When do trade we'll make our decision from fundamental analysis and technical analysis.

Today we will talk about the fundamental analysis.

2.Recommend app

Wall Street APP（华尔街见闻）

He xun APP（和讯网）

Daily Finance(今日财经）

3.Gold

In the long term is will be rise.Until the end of this year it will be rise.

Joke:We can buy in lowest price and sold in highest price.

Analysis:

Every year there are 2K ton of gold output.

India will need 660 ton in 2017.Tax is 1.2%

Now India estimate will need 990 ton gold.Tax will 3%.

According to culture and need.Gold maybe rise in the end of 2018.

4.How to catch the chance to estimate the trend ？

Eg: EUR

Greek debt crisis-->EUR  ↑

Long term:↓

Short term: ↑

5.USD

USD will not down if has no bad news

History:

QE:Quantitative easing，USD ↓

QQE Japan ,low interest ,Devaluation

6.Affect the USD value

a basket of currencies

The percentage of USD  is high.more than 60%

When percentage of USD is down.The value of USD will down.

7.Commodity Money

AUD，NZD，CAD

eg:GDP = C（Consumer）+I(Investor)+G(Government)+NX(Net export)

Commodity currency is inversely proportional to foreign exchange。

GDP ↓ will affect the AUD ↓(Due many Australia output reply on China)

NZD is same as AUD.

CAD is a little complex.It related to Gold,USA,OIL.

Before 2015.USA oil kept in Canada.

Later USA improved the oil Oil extraction technology.Reduce rely on Canada oil.

Long term:Oil ↓