2024美赛F题思路:减少非法野生动物贸易Reducing Illegal Wildlife Trade

解析:解析传送

非法野生动植物贸易对我们的环境产生负面影响,并威胁到全球生物多样性。是的
估计每年涉及高达265亿美元,被认为是第四个
全球所有非法交易中最大的。
[1] 您将开发一个数据驱动的 5 年项目,旨在
显著减少野生动植物非法贸易。你的目标是说服客户执行
您的项目。为此,必须同时选择一个客户端以及该客户端的相应项目。
你的工作应该探讨以下子问题:
● 谁是你的客户?该客户实际上可以做什么?(换句话说,你的客户
应该拥有制定您提议的项目所需的权力、资源和利益。
● 解释为什么你开发的项目适合这个客户。什么研究,来自
已发表的文献和您自己的分析,支持选择您提出的建议
项目?使用数据驱动的分析,您将如何说服您的客户这是一个
他们应该承担的项目?
● 您的客户需要哪些额外的权力和资源来执行项目?
(记住要使用假设,但也要尽可能多地将你的工作建立在现实中
能够。
● 如果项目进行,会发生什么?换句话说,可测量的是什么
对非法野生动植物贸易的影响是什么?你做了什么分析来确定这一点?
● 项目达到预期目标的可能性有多大?此外,基于情境化
敏感性分析,是否存在可能不成比例地有帮助的条件或事件,或
损害项目实现目标的能力?
虽然您可以限制非法野生动植物贸易的方法,但您也可以认为非法
野生动植物贸易是一个更大的复杂系统的一部分。具体来说,您可以考虑其他
其他领域的全球努力,e.g.,为减少其他形式的贩运而作出的努力或为减少其他形式的贩运而作出的努力
减少气候变化,同时努力遏制非法野生动植物贸易,可能是
系统复杂。这可能 cIllegal wildlife trade negatively impacts our environment and threatens global biodiversity. It is
estimated to involve up to 26.5 billion US dollars per year and is considered to be the fourth
largest of all global illegal trades.
[1] You are to develop a data-driven 5-year project designed to
make a notable reduction in illegal wildlife trade. Your goal is to convince a client to carry out
your project. To do this, you must select both a client and an appropriate project for that client.
Your work should explore the following sub-questions:
● Who is your client? What can that client realistically do? (In other words, your client
should have the powers, resources, and interest needed to enact the project you propose.)
● Explain why the project you developed is suitable for this client. What research, from
published literature and from your own analyses, supports the selection of your proposed
project? Using a data-driven analysis, how will you convince your client that this is a
project they should undertake?
● What additional powers and resources will your client need to carry out the project?
(Remember to use assumptions, but also ground your work in reality as much as you are
able.)
● If the project is carried out what will happen? In other words, what will the measurable
impact on illegal wildlife trade be? What analysis did you do to determine this?
● How likely is the project to reach the expected goal? Also, based on a contextualized
sensitivity analysis, are there conditions or events that may disproportionately aid or
harm the project’s ability to reach its goal?
While you could limit your approach to illegal wildlife trade, you may also consider illegal
wildlife trade as part of a larger complex system. Specifically, you could consider how other
global efforts in other domains, e.g., efforts to curtail other forms of trafficking or efforts to
reduce climate change coupled with efforts to curtail illegal wildlife trade, may be part of a
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