TED Day 65: Why we ignore obvious problems and how to act on them

Day 64: 

Michele Wucker: Why we ignore obvious problems and how to act on them

TED:为什么我们常常忽视显而易见的问题？_腾讯视频

按照设定的pattern，今天主要关注三个维度中的第二个维度，演讲方式，我以面和体的形式记录下自己的理解。

面（段） 

颠覆常识（惊讶）

演讲的开头平铺直叙，似乎没有让人惊艳的地方，但是却称述了一个令人费解的事实/议题：人们往往忽略显而易见的问题。

- And in fact, we're sometimes most likely to turn away from things precisely because of the threat that they represent to us, in business, life and the world. 

Something New (灰犀牛)

通过归纳法我们建立了一些认知，直到我们发现了黑天鹅，很可惜归纳法并不保真；而讲者提出了灰犀牛的隐喻，以演绎法来建立新的认知。

- So I created the gray rhino metaphor to meet what I felt was an urgent need. To help us to take a fresh look, with the same passion that people had for the black swan, but this time, for the things that were highly obvious, highly probable, but still neglected. Those are the gray rhinos.

体（章）

这篇演讲的目的是帮我们正视目前被忽略的重要事实，并且提出行动方案。

开篇比较平淡平铺直叙，直接点题（令人费解的事实/议题），人们往往忽略显而易见的问题。

- Would you do everything within your power to fix things before they got worse? Don't be so sure. We are all much more likely than any of us would like to admit to miss what's right in front of our eyes.

事例 - 重大事件且和大家息息相关

- .So, after 2006, when real estate prices peaked, more and more and more respected leaders and institutions started to sound the alarm bells about risky lending and dangerous market bubbles. As you know, in 2008 it all came tumbling down

分析数据并提出新理论

- So I created the gray rhino metaphor to meet what I felt was an urgent need. 

对于该理论不同的表现并分析背后的原因

- So what makes the difference between one side and the other? Why do some people see things and deal with them, and the other ones just look away?

号召行动

- I want to invite all of you to join me in helping to spark an open and honest conversation with the people around you, about the gray rhinos in our world, and be brutally honest about how well we're dealing with them.