【书摘】Elon Musk 第一法则

写这个的源起是因在看行业分析的时候come across。觉得这条法则对自己有诸多用处,多家留心可以纠正自己的很多分析框架的问题。

I think it’s important to reason from first principles rather than by analogy.
The normal way we conduct our lives is we reason by analogy.
[With analogy] we are doing this because it’s like something else that was done, or it is like what other people are doing.
[With first principles] you boil things down to the most fundamental truths…and then reason up from there.
--Elon Musk

“我在想存在一种好的思维框架(a good framework for thinking),那是物理学的东西,你知道,有点儿像第一原理推理(first principles reasoning),总体来讲,我认为存在…将事情缩减至其根本实质,并从那里开始向上理论,和类推推理刚好相反。”

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