America votes: our predictions

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America votes: our predictions

• prediction 预测；被预言的事物

1. On the eve of America’s mid-term elections, which will determine the fate of President Donald Trump’s agenda, the two chambers of Congress look likely to move in opposite directions.

• agenda 议程；议程表；记事册

2. In the House of Representatives, where all seats are up for grabs, Democrats are in the driver’s seat.

• the House of Representatives 美国众议院
• the Senate 参议院
• Democrats 美国民主党
• Republicans 〈美〉共和党

3. The Economist’s statistical model, recently updated to incorporate fundraising and district-specific polling, gives them an 86% chance of gaining a majority.

• incorporate 包含；吸收；将…包括在内；使并入
• fundraising n. 筹款；资金筹集
• statistical model 统计模型

4. But only 35 of 100 seats in the Senate are being contested this year; of those, just nine are held by Republicans.

• contest 竞争；争议；争夺；争夺(胜败,土地等)

5. Even though many Democratic incumbents in conservative states are faring surprisingly well in polls, the party cannot afford for even one of them to lose without also pulling off an upset in an even more heavily Republican state like Tennessee or Texas.

• incumbent 任职者
• conservative 保守的
• pull off 赢得；做成某事

6. Betting markets and other publicly available statistical models put the Democrats’ chances of winning the Senate at around one in seven.

• betting markets 博彩市场
• one in seven 七分之一

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